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Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts (English Edition) de Annie Duke

Descripción - Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result.In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck?Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes.By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.

Decisive how to make better choices in life and work just making a decision can be hard enough, but how do you begin to judge whether its the right one chip and dan heath, authors of 1 new york times bestseller switch, show you how to overcome your brains natural shortcomings Librofm thinking in bets audiobook but professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions dont always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions dont always lead to bad outcomes by shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you dont, youll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, kneejerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision smart choices a practical guide to making smart choices a practical guide to making better decisions kindle edition by hammond, john s, keeney, ralph l, raiffa, howard download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading smart choices a practical guide to making better decisions

Thinking, fast and slow by daniel kahneman in the highly anticipated thinking, fast and slow, kahneman takes us on a groundbreaking tour of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we thinksystem 1 is fast, intuitive, and emotional system 2 is slower, more deliberative, and more logical kahneman exposes the extraordinary capabilitiesand also the faults and biasesof fast thinking, and reveals t The richest man in babylon chapter 2 summary you may decide not to read security analysis at all, as it seems more like an academic text or professionals guide ie for accountingthe dale carnegie coursein this section, you will find additional resources that you can use in conjunction with our courses to assist you in reaching your short and long term performance goalsdescargar libros gratislook for a good character over good Thinking in bets making smarter decisions when you dont thinking in bets making smarter decisions when you dont have all the facts 9780735216358 duke, annie books

Detalles del Libro

• Name: Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts (English Edition)
  
• Autor: Annie Duke
  
• Categoria: Libros,Libros universitarios y de estudios superiores,Ciencias sociales
  
• Tamaño del archivo: 11 MB
  
• Tipos de archivo: PDF Document
  
• Idioma: Español
  
• Archivos de estado: AVAILABLE
  

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